Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.004877 0.005379 0.005921 0.006553 0.007270 0.008062 0.009006
2025-08-03 0.004053 0.004742 0.005544 0.006554 0.007803 0.009311 0.011292
2025-08-10 0.003550 0.004314 0.005245 0.006482 0.008101 0.010183 0.013116
2025-08-17 0.003236 0.004053 0.005089 0.006523 0.008495 0.011170 0.015176
2025-08-24 0.002951 0.003787 0.004881 0.006451 0.008700 0.011894 0.016942
2025-08-31 0.002677 0.003504 0.004616 0.006259 0.008696 0.012296 0.018260
2025-09-07 0.002502 0.003338 0.004491 0.006243 0.008929 0.013057 0.020230
2025-09-14 0.002414 0.003283 0.004511 0.006434 0.009486 0.014373 0.023310
2025-09-21 0.002252 0.003108 0.004342 0.006317 0.009542 0.014878 0.025048
2025-09-28 0.002107 0.002947 0.004179 0.006193 0.009567 0.015324 0.026738
2025-10-05 0.002006 0.002843 0.004093 0.006182 0.009773 0.016101 0.029182
2025-10-12 0.001945 0.002795 0.004089 0.006299 0.010208 0.017337 0.032764
2025-10-19 0.001841 0.002680 0.003977 0.006238 0.010340 0.018065 0.035510
2025-10-26 0.001758 0.002591 0.003902 0.006235 0.010582 0.019046 0.039055
2025-11-02 0.001670 0.002489 0.003796 0.006168 0.010691 0.019770 0.042157
2025-11-09 0.001609 0.002427 0.003753 0.006206 0.011007 0.020965 0.046690
2025-11-16 0.001535 0.002337 0.003657 0.006139 0.011103 0.021700 0.050217
2025-11-23 0.001447 0.002220 0.003506 0.005959 0.010950 0.021857 0.052220
2025-11-30 0.001392 0.002158 0.003446 0.005943 0.011136 0.022817 0.056746
2025-12-07 0.001373 0.002152 0.003485 0.006123 0.011758 0.024905 0.065243
2025-12-14 0.001311 0.002070 0.003382 0.006013 0.011734 0.025406 0.068919
2025-12-21 0.001252 0.001991 0.003280 0.005897 0.011683 0.025831 0.072483
2025-12-28 0.001211 0.001942 0.003232 0.005886 0.011872 0.026912 0.078664